AP Statistics mock exam Free full practice test
A full-length practice test built from our exam-style questions on every unit of AP Statistics. Each answer is marked as you go, and every question has a worked solution to open afterwards.
Before you start
- Set a timer for about 140 minutes and work without notes. The formulas and tables are provided in the exam. Answers within 2.5% are marked correct (5% for probabilities), so values from a table or a calculator both count.
- There are no hints in the mock. Answer every question before you open its worked solution: opening it first counts the question as missed.
- Write the free-response questions on paper, then mark them yourself with the scoring guide.
Section I: 25 exam-style questions
Hint
z = (x − mean)/SD.
Worked solution
- z = (82 − 70)/8 = 12/8.
- z = 1.5: the score is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean.
Hint
Standardise, then use the normal table or normalcdf.
Worked solution
- z = (182 − 170)/6 = 2.
- P(Z > 2) = 1 − 0.9772.
- Proportion = 0.0228, about 2.3%.
Hint
Is every group sampled, or are whole groups chosen?
Worked solution
- The population is split into groups (strata) of similar individuals, and a random sample is taken from every group.
- That is a stratified random sample: B.
Hint
Find the z-score with 0.90 of the area below it, then unstandardise.
Worked solution
- invNorm(0.90) gives z = 1.2816.
- x = 500 + 1.2816 × 100 = 628.
Hint
What does an experiment have that an observational study does not?
Worked solution
- Without random assignment of coffee drinking, coffee drinkers may differ in other ways that affect lifespan.
- Those confounding variables mean we cannot conclude cause and effect: B.
Hint
This is a conditional probability: given that they play a sport.
Worked solution
- P(instrument | sport) = P(both)/P(sport).
- = 0.12/0.30 = 0.4.
Hint
Binomial with n = 10 and p = 0.3.
Worked solution
- P(X = 3) = 10C3(0.3)3(0.7)7 = 120 × 0.027 × 0.0824.
- P(X = 3) = 0.267.
Hint
Use the complement: 1 − P(none faulty).
Worked solution
- P(none faulty) = 0.85 = 0.328.
- P(at least one) = 1 − 0.328 = 0.672.
Hint
σ = √(np(1 − p)).
Worked solution
- σ = √(100 × 0.4 × 0.6) = √24.
- σ = 4.90.
Hint
Find the standard deviation of the sample mean first. With n = 36 the central limit theorem lets you use a normal model.
Worked solution
- σx̄ = 12/√36 = 2.
- z = (53 − 50)/2 = 1.5.
- P(x̄ > 53) = P(Z > 1.5) = 0.0668.
Hint
Margin = z* × SE, with z* = 1.96.
Worked solution
- SE = 0.0374.
- Margin = 1.96 × 0.0374 = 0.0733.
Hint
Use p0 = 0.5 in the standard error, not p̂.
Worked solution
- p̂ = 0.56. SE = √(0.5 × 0.5/200) = 0.0354.
- z = (0.56 − 0.5)/0.0354 = 1.70.
Hint
The p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic.
Worked solution
- P(Z > 1.70).
- p-value = 0.045.
Hint
A p-value is calculated assuming H0 is true.
Worked solution
- The p-value is the probability, assuming H0, of a statistic at least as extreme as the one observed.
- The answer is C.
Hint
Use the pooled proportion in the standard error.
Worked solution
- Pooled p̂ = (60 + 45)/200 = 0.525.
- SE = √(0.525 × 0.475 × (1/100 + 1/100)) = 0.0706.
- z = (0.60 − 0.45)/0.0706 = 2.12.
Hint
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n).
Worked solution
- SE = 6/√36 = 1.
- t = (52 − 50)/1 = 2.
Hint
t* has 15 degrees of freedom.
Worked solution
- SE = 8/√16 = 2. With df = 15, t* = 2.131.
- Margin = 2.131 × 2 = 4.26.
Hint
Two-sided: double the tail area.
Worked solution
- P(t > 2.0) with df = 35 is about 0.0267.
- p-value = 2 × 0.0267 = 0.053.
Hint
Are the two sets of scores independent, or linked student by student?
Worked solution
- Each student gives two linked measurements, so analyse the 20 differences.
- That is a paired t test: B.
Hint
SE = √(s12/n1 + s22/n2).
Worked solution
- SE = √(100/25 + 144/30) = √(4 + 4.8) = 2.966.
- t = (78 − 72)/2.966 = 2.02.
Hint
b = r(sy/sx).
Worked solution
- b = 0.8 × 10/4.
- b = 2.
Hint
The line passes through (x̄, ȳ).
Worked solution
- a = ȳ − b x̄ = 50 − 2 × 20.
- a = 10.
Hint
Square r.
Worked solution
- r2 = (−0.6)2 = 0.36, so 36%.
Hint
Is 30 inside the range of ages used to build the line?
Worked solution
- The line was fitted for ages 2 to 10; growth stops in adulthood, so the pattern does not continue.
- Predicting at age 30 is extrapolation: B.
Hint
Use your calculator's linear regression, or r = Σ(zxzy)/(n − 1).
Worked solution
- x̄ = 3, ȳ = 4. Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 6, Σ(x − x̄)2 = 10, Σ(y − ȳ)2 = 6.
- r = 6/√(10 × 6) = 6/7.746.
- r = 0.775.
Section II: 4 free-response questions
Free-response question 1: Exploring one-variable data and collecting data
Experimental design style · 10 points · about 22 minutes
A teacher wants to know whether a new revision app improves test scores more than revising from notes. Forty students volunteer. Their scores on last term's test vary widely.
- (a) Identify the treatments and the response variable.
- (b) Describe how to carry out a completely randomised design with the 40 students.
- (c) Explain why blocking by last term's score might be better, and describe how to do it.
- (d) Can the results be generalised to all students at the school? Explain.
Write your full answer on paper first, then open the scoring guide and tick each point you earned.
Scoring guide and model answer
Part (a)
Treatments: revising with the app, and revising from notes. Response: the score on the next test.
Part (b)
Number the students 1 to 40. Use a random number generator to pick 20 different numbers: those students use the app, the other 20 revise from notes. Compare mean test scores.
Part (c)
Last term's score is likely related to the response, so blocking reduces variability. Pair students with similar scores, and randomly assign one of each pair to the app.
Part (d)
No. The students volunteered, so they may not represent all students; there was no random sample from the school.
Your mark: 0 of 10
Free-response question 2: Probability, random variables and probability distributions
Probability and random variables style · 10 points · about 22 minutes
At a school fair, a game costs $2 to play. A player spins a fair spinner with 10 equal sections: 1 section wins $10, 3 sections win $2, and the rest win nothing. Let W be the player's net gain from one game.
- (a) Write down the probability distribution of W.
- (b) Find E(W) and interpret it in context.
- (c) A player plays 8 games. Find the probability that they win the $10 prize at least once.
- (d) Is the number of games until the first $10 win a binomial random variable? Explain.
Write your full answer on paper first, then open the scoring guide and tick each point you earned.
Scoring guide and model answer
Part (a)
W = 8 with probability 0.1; W = 0 with probability 0.3; W = −2 with probability 0.6.
Part (b)
E(W) = 8(0.1) + 0(0.3) − 2(0.6) = −0.4. Over many games, a player loses an average of 40 cents a game.
Part (c)
Binomial, n = 8, p = 0.1. P(at least one) = 1 − 0.98 = 0.570.
Part (d)
No. A binomial variable has a fixed number of trials; here the number of trials is not fixed.
Your mark: 0 of 10
Free-response question 3: Inference for quantitative data: means
Inference for means style · 10 points · about 22 minutes
A coach records the 100 m times of 10 randomly selected sprinters before and after a six-week training programme. The mean of the differences (before minus after) is 0.18 seconds, with standard deviation 0.20 seconds.
- (a) State the hypotheses for testing whether the programme reduces times, defining the parameter.
- (b) Name the test and check its conditions.
- (c) Calculate the test statistic and p-value.
- (d) State a conclusion in context at the 5% level.
Write your full answer on paper first, then open the scoring guide and tick each point you earned.
Scoring guide and model answer
Part (a)
μd = the true mean difference (before minus after) for all such sprinters. H0: μd = 0; Ha: μd > 0.
Part (b)
Paired t test. Random: random selection of sprinters. 10%: 10 is less than 10% of all sprinters. Normal: n is small, so check that a graph of the differences shows no strong skew or outliers.
Part (c)
t = 0.18/(0.20/√10) = 0.18/0.0632 = 2.85, df = 9. p-value = P(t > 2.85) = 0.0096.
Part (d)
Since 0.0096 < 0.05, reject H0. There is convincing evidence that the programme reduces 100 m times on average for sprinters like these.
Your mark: 0 of 10
Free-response question 4: Regression analysis
Regression style · 10 points · about 22 minutes
A café records the daily high temperature x (°C) and the number of iced drinks sold y on 20 randomly chosen days. Computer output gives the least-squares line ŷ = −12.5 + 4.2x, with r = 0.91 and s = 6.3.
- (a) Interpret the slope in context.
- (b) Predict sales on a day with a high of 25°C, and find the residual if 96 iced drinks were sold.
- (c) Calculate and interpret r2.
- (d) Interpret s = 6.3 in context.
- (e) The café manager says hot weather causes more iced drink sales. Can the data support this? Explain.
Write your full answer on paper first, then open the scoring guide and tick each point you earned.
Scoring guide and model answer
Part (a)
For each additional 1°C in daily high temperature, the predicted number of iced drinks sold increases by about 4.2.
Part (b)
ŷ = −12.5 + 4.2(25) = 92.5. Residual = 96 − 92.5 = 3.5.
Part (c)
r2 = 0.912 = 0.828. About 82.8% of the variation in daily iced drink sales is explained by the linear relationship with daily high temperature.
Part (d)
The actual number of iced drinks sold typically differs from the number predicted by the line by about 6.3 drinks.
Part (e)
Not from these data alone: this is an observational study, so other variables (such as weekends or school holidays) may be confounded with temperature.
Your mark: 0 of 10
After the mock
Note every question you missed and its unit, then go back to that unit's practice page: all AP Statistics units. Then try the real thing with official AP Statistics past papers.